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Gold, silver rate outlook: Prices seen range-bound; Middle East tensions, US data in focus

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Gold, silver rate outlook: Prices seen range-bound; Middle East tensions, US data in focus

Gold and silver are likely to trade in a range with a positive bias in the coming week as investors track geopolitical developments in West Asia and key global macroeconomic data, analysts said, according to PTI.Market participants will also watch the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy decision due mid-week for further cues.“Going into the week ahead, focus continues to remain on developments in the Gulf region – any sign of further escalation and de-escalation may drive prices, accordingly,” said Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG – Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd.He added that investors will closely track global indicators including services PMI readings across major economies, along with US data on durable goods, GDP, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index and CPI inflation.In the previous holiday-shortened week, gold futures for June delivery rose Rs 2,425, or 1.65%, while silver futures for May gained Rs 4,541, or 2% on the Multi Commodity Exchange.Brokerage firm Choice Broking said the recovery in gold and silver prices followed three consecutive weeks of decline, supported by macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, including a weakening rupee at record lows and a decline in Bitcoin as investors shifted flows towards bullion.In global markets, gold futures for June delivery rose USD 155.4, or 3.43%, to settle at USD 4,679.7 per ounce on Comex. Silver for May delivery increased USD 3.13, or 4.5%, to close at USD 72.92 per ounce.“Gold prices closed in positive for the second straight week, ending with a weekly gain of nearly 4 per cent, while silver too was up for the week, tracking higher gold and industrial metals,” Mer said.He noted that prices held firm despite stronger-than-expected US macroeconomic data, which reinforced expectations that the economy remains resilient and that monetary policy continues to be accommodative.Mer added that some liquidation was seen in gold due to ETF selling and reduced central bank buying, followed by a corrective move after US President Donald Trump’s remarks on Iran heightened geopolitical tensions.Choice Broking said uncertainties persist as Iran rejected a US peace proposal and maintained control over the Strait of Hormuz, while strong physical demand continued to support prices. Silver imports into China during the first two months of 2026 reached an eight-year high of 206.76 metric tonnes, tightening global supply.Analysts expect the overall trend in precious metals to remain sideways to bullish in the near term, with investors also monitoring US unemployment data and jobless claims for signals on policy direction and bullion prices.

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Govt ramps up LPG supply, urges no panic amid Middle East crisis

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Iran War, LPG Crisis Row Expose Congress Rift As Leaders Counter Rahul Gandhi’s Stand Openly

The government has stepped up LPG supply across the country and urged consumers to avoid panic buying amid concerns over disruptions linked to the Strait of Hormuz, PTI reported on Sunday.Sale of small 5-kg LPG cylinders, available over the counter at distributorships on valid ID proof, has been ramped up to meet demand. These market-priced cylinders do not require address proof unlike subsidised 14.2-kg domestic cylinders.

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Iran War, LPG Crisis Row Expose Congress Rift As Leaders Counter Rahul Gandhi’s Stand Openly

“Yesterday (April 4), more than 90,000, 5Kg FTL cylinders were sold. Since March 23, 2026, about 6.6 lakh, 5 Kg FTL cylinders have been sold,” the oil ministry said in a statement.The ministry said there are no reports of shortages at distributor points, with more than 51 lakh domestic cylinders delivered in a single day. Online bookings accounted for 95% of total demand.Authorities have intensified enforcement against hoarding and black marketing, seizing over 50,000 cylinders since March and issuing more than 1,400 show-cause notices to LPG distributors. So far, 36 dealerships have been suspended.The government has prioritised supply of domestic LPG and piped natural gas (PNG), especially for households and essential services such as hospitals and educational institutions. Refinery output has been increased, while demand is being managed by extending LPG refill intervals.Commercial LPG supplies have been capped at 70% of pre-crisis levels, with wider availability of smaller cylinders aimed at easing pressure.On the natural gas front, full supplies are being maintained for households and transport, while supplies to fertiliser plants are set to rise to around 90% of average consumption from April 6, backed by incoming LNG cargoes.All refineries are operating at high capacity with adequate crude inventories, and petrol pumps remain fully stocked nationwide, the ministry said, reiterating its advice to rely on official information and avoid panic buying.

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Stock markets outlook: Dalal Street braces for swings as RBI MPC decision, war risks weigh on sentiment–Check key triggers

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Stock markets outlook: Dalal Street braces for swings as RBI MPC decision, war risks weigh on sentiment--Check key triggers

Domestic equities are expected to remain volatile this week as investors track the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy decision, global macroeconomic cues and evolving developments in the West Asia conflict, analysts said, according to PTI.Market participants will also keep a close watch on crude oil price movements and foreign fund flows, which continue to influence sentiment.Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Ltd, said the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting will be the key domestic trigger, with investors focusing on the central bank’s stance on inflation and growth.“A rate pause is near-certain consensus, the central bank walks a tightrope between crude-driven inflation risks and a four-year low Manufacturing PMI signalling a softening growth impulse. The governor’s commentary on the rate cycle trajectory and FY27 projections will be closely monitored.“Globally, the US March CPI reading will carry significant importance, as it buries residual Fed rate-cut hopes, strengthens the dollar and tightens financial conditions for emerging markets, including India,” Nair said.He added that geopolitical developments in West Asia will remain the dominant factor shaping market direction.“Indian markets return after a three-day gap and remain acutely vulnerable to weekend war developments, with crude trajectory and any credible ceasefire signal being the decisive variable that could either trigger a sharp relief rally or extend the current sell-on-rise mode,” he said.In the previous holiday-shortened week, the BSE Sensex declined 263.67 points, or 0.35%, while the NSE Nifty fell 106.5 points, or 0.46%.Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research (Wealth Management) at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said investor sentiment will remain closely linked to developments in the West Asia conflict.Brent crude prices have stayed elevated near $107 per barrel, fuelling concerns around imported inflation. Currency pressures have also intensified, with the rupee weakening sharply before recovering towards Rs 93 against the US dollar following RBI intervention, he noted.Foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows remain a key overhang, with March witnessing heavy selling of Rs 1.2 lakh crore, among the highest monthly outflows in recent years.“Investors will monitor the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes, GDP data, and initial jobless claims for further cues on growth and the policy trajectory.“Overall, markets are expected to remain volatile as geopolitical developments, crude price movements, FII flows and global macro data continue to drive sentiment,” Khemka said.Analysts said any signs of de-escalation in the West Asia conflict could ease crude prices and stabilise the currency, offering relief to markets, while further escalation may prolong risk aversion and keep pressure on foreign flows.

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RBI likely to hold repo rate at 5.25% amid inflation risks from Middle East crisis

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RBI likely to hold repo rate at 5.25% amid inflation risks from Middle East crisis

The Reserve Bank is expected to keep the benchmark repo rate unchanged at 5.25% in its April monetary policy review, as rising inflation risks linked to the Middle East crisis cloud the outlook, according to a poll of economists cited by PTI.Geopolitical tensions, volatile commodity prices and sharp currency movements — with the rupee hitting record lows — have complicated the policy trajectory, with economists closely watching the central bank’s projections on growth, inflation and policy stance.“Given the uncertainty around crude oil prices and geopolitical developments, the RBI is likely to remain on pause in the April policy and closely monitor incoming inflation data before taking any further action,” said Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA, PTI quoted.SBI’s chief economist Soumya Kanti Ghosh said the central bank will be cautious in communicating its decision. “India is not unscathed from the current crisis and is feeling the mercury rising. Rupee is already hovering above 93 per dollar, and crude oil is adamant above USD 100 per barrel, resulting in a jump in imported inflation across states,” he said, adding that the projected “super El Nino” will also put pressure on inflation.Dipti Deshpande, principal economist at Crisil, said under the base case scenario where inflation remains close to the MPC’s target, the central bank may look through the supply shock and keep rates unchanged.The RBI has already cut the repo rate by 1.25% since last February, but has maintained status quo in its August, October and February 2026 policy reviews.The six-member Monetary Policy Committee is scheduled to begin its April meeting on Monday, with the final decision expected on Wednesday.Economists noted that although retail inflation has eased closer to the RBI’s medium-term target of 4%, the recent spike in crude oil prices has raised concerns over second-round effects on domestic prices, especially in fuel, transport and core inflation components.Estimates suggest that every USD 10 per barrel increase in crude prices could push inflation up by as much as 0.60%. Crude prices have surged from around USD 60 per barrel to over USD 100 since the conflict began in late February. The rupee has also weakened by more than 4% during this period, adding to imported inflation pressures.“We do not expect any change in repo rate or stance this time. The tone will be cautious, and what will be eagerly awaited is the RBI’s forecast of GDP and inflation under the prevailing uncertainty,” said Bank of Baroda chief economist Madan Sabnavis.HDFC Bank principal economist Sakshi Gupta said a rate move based on short-term developments may not be prudent given ongoing volatility in global commodity markets. “The central bank would prefer to wait for clearer signals on the inflation trajectory,” she said.Economists indicated that the RBI may revisit its inflation and growth projections in the upcoming review to reflect evolving global risks, with a possibility of upward revision in inflation forecasts if crude prices remain elevated.Given the current scenario, the policy focus is expected to shift towards inflation management rather than growth support.“While domestic growth conditions remain supportive, the persistence of global uncertainties could weigh on exports and investment activity, requiring the RBI to maintain policy flexibility,” said a treasury official at a private sector bank.The central bank is also likely to retain its neutral stance, signalling flexibility amid uncertain inflation dynamics and global developments. Liquidity conditions, transmission of past rate changes, financial market stability, currency movements, capital flows and bond market dynamics are expected to remain key considerations for policymakers.

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India Television Market: Middle East tensions to hit TV sales? Industry braces for decline as production costs rise

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Middle East tensions to hit TV sales? Industry braces for decline as production costs rise

India’s television market is headed for new challenges as manufacturers face rising input costs and shifting consumer demand patterns that are beginning to affect sales momentum. Industry players are facing a sharp escalation in the cost of key components such as memory chips (RAM), alongside higher plastics prices and increased ocean freight charges. These freight pressures have been linked to ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia. At the same time, depreciation of the rupee has added further burden to production expenses, pushing up retail prices of television sets across categories.Amid these pressures, several manufacturers have adopted different pricing strategies, with some absorbing part of the cost increases and others avoiding full pass-through to consumers in a bid to retain their share in India’s intensely competitive TV market.However, the rising price environment is beginning to influence buyer behaviour. Consumers are delaying purchases, and industry participants are reporting early indications of downtrading, where customers opt for lower screen sizes to manage budgets.“There will be a shift in the purchase of TV screen sizes. If a consumer is looking to buy a 55-inch screen size television, they might opt for a 50-inch screen size model instead. Consumers who were considering a 65-inch screen size TV are now settling for a 55-inch screen size,” said Super Plastronics Pvt Ltd (SPPL) Director and CEO Avneet Singh Marwah, whose company holds brand licences for Thomson, Kodak and Blaupunkt among others.He added that pricing has moved up significantly over the past six months, noting that an entry-level 32-inch television, which had previously fallen to around Rs 9,000, is now being sold at about Rs 11,000.Despite the pressure on demand, financing options continue to provide some support to the market. Haier India President NS Satish said that instalment-based purchasing is helping maintain demand, particularly for larger screens.“Almost 50 per cent of our business happens on EMI,” he said, pointing out that even a price increase of around Rs 5,000 only adds a few extra monthly instalments. “When EMI is there, an additional hike of around Rs 5,000 is just three additional instalments,” he said.Satish noted that while some consumers are still upgrading to bigger televisions by opting for higher EMIs, a section of buyers is shifting towards smaller screen sizes due to affordability concerns. He also said companies have not fully passed on cost increases to consumers, with current pricing levels now close to pre-GST reform figures.According to Counterpoint Research, India’s television market is expected to see a slowdown in demand, with shipments projected to decline 5–6 per cent in Q1 and 3–5 per cent in Q2 of 2026. The pressure is being driven by rising RAM costs, freight disruptions linked to geopolitical tensions, and the impact of rupee depreciation on import-linked expenses.Anshika Jain, Principal Analyst at Counterpoint Research, said brands with integrated supply chains, such as Samsung, are better positioned to manage these cost pressures. She added that consumers are currently prioritising essential spending and postponing discretionary purchases like televisions.However, she ruled out a widespread downgrade trend in screen sizes, noting that while some downtrading is visible, the premium segment, especially 45 inches and above, remains steady, supported by EMI options that ease affordability.Jain also said the market could see a modest recovery during the festive season in the second half of the year, with larger screen sizes of 55 inches and above continuing to gain traction over the longer term as upgrade cycles gradually evolve.

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OPEC+ to consider output hike as US-Iran war disrupts oil supply routes

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OPEC+ to consider output hike as US-Iran war disrupts oil supply routes

OPEC+ may approve an oil output increase at its meeting on Sunday, though the move is expected to remain largely symbolic as key producers are unable to raise supply due to disruptions caused by the US-Israeli war with Iran, Reuters reported citing sources.Eight OPEC+ members are scheduled to meet at 1300 GMT to discuss production quotas for May, with sources indicating that any increase would have little immediate impact on global supply.

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‘HORMUZ REMAINS CLOSED’: Iran DARES Trump With ‘FOREVER WAR,’ Laughs Off 48-Hour Hormuz Deadline

The ongoing conflict has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz — the world’s most critical oil transit route — since the end of February, sharply curtailing exports from major producers such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq. These countries were among the few in the group with the capacity to raise output before the conflict.Other members, including Russia, are also unable to increase production due to Western sanctions and infrastructure damage linked to the war in Ukraine.Within the Gulf region, missile and drone attacks have caused significant damage to energy infrastructure. Officials say it could take months to restore normal operations and achieve production targets, even if the conflict ends and shipping through Hormuz resumes immediately.At its previous meeting on March 1, OPEC+ had agreed to a modest output increase of 206,000 barrels per day for April. However, the ongoing crisis has since triggered what is being described as the largest oil supply disruption on record, removing an estimated 12 to 15 million barrels per day — or up to 15% of global supply.Crude prices have surged to near four-year highs, approaching $120 per barrel. JPMorgan has warned that prices could rise above $150 — an all-time high — if disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue into mid-May.While a fresh output hike may signal intent to boost supply once conditions stabilise, analysts say it remains largely theoretical under current constraints. Consultancy Energy Aspects described the proposed increase as “academic” as long as disruptions in the strait persist.

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State-run oil firms to pay discounted refinery rates as fuel prices stay frozen despite crude surge

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State-run oil firms to pay discounted refinery rates as fuel prices stay frozen despite crude surge

In a first since fuel price deregulation, state-run oil marketing companies (OMCs) have moved to pay discounted rates to refineries for petrol, diesel, aviation turbine fuel (ATF) and kerosene to limit mounting losses arising from a self-imposed freeze on retail fuel prices, sources told PTI.OMCs on March 26 fixed rates for petroleum products at discounts of up to Rs 60 per litre to their imported cost, with the revised pricing applicable from March 16. The move is expected to hit standalone refiners such as MRPL, CPCL and HMEL the most, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter, as reported PTI.

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Iran War Impact Hits India: Commercial LPG Prices Rise, Airfares Set To Surge As Fuel Costs Double

The decision comes as international crude oil prices have surged from about $70 per barrel before the Middle East conflict to over $100, while domestic petrol and diesel prices have remained unchanged, forcing OMCs to absorb the impact.With no immediate end to the conflict in sight, OMCs have opted to apply discounts on refinery transfer price (RTP) — the internal price at which refineries sell fuels to marketing arms — effectively lowering payouts to refiners below import-parity levels.For the second half of March, a discount of Rs 22,342 per kilolitre (Rs 22.34 per litre) was imposed on diesel, reducing RTP from Rs 85,349 per kl to Rs 63,007 per kl. For the first fortnight of April, the diesel discount has widened sharply to Rs 60,239 per kl, bringing RTP down from Rs 146,243 per kl to Rs 86,004 per kl.On ATF, RTP has been cut to Rs 76,923 per kl from Rs 127,486 per kl after factoring in a discount of Rs 50,564 per kl. Similarly, kerosene RTP has been reduced to Rs 77,534 per kl from Rs 123,845 per kl with a discount of Rs 46,311 per kl, sources said.Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp and Hindustan Petroleum Corp did not immediately respond to requests for comment.The discounted pricing prevents refiners from fully passing on higher crude costs through RTP, compelling them to absorb part of the burden from elevated global oil prices.While integrated public sector companies such as Indian Oil Corporation Ltd (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) may offset part of the impact through their combined refining and marketing operations, standalone refiners that depend on market-linked RTP for revenues are likely to face a sharper squeeze on margins.Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL), Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd (CPCL) and HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd (HMEL) — which have limited retail presence and sell most of their output to OMCs — are expected to be the most affected.The changes could also impact private refiners such as Nayara Energy and Reliance Industries Ltd if similar discounts are extended, as they sell a significant portion of their petrol and diesel output to OMCs, which operate about 90% of the country’s over one lakh fuel retail outlets.Traditionally, petrol and diesel pricing in India has been based on import parity, where fuels are valued as if imported, even though crude oil is refined domestically. RTP was linked to import parity price (IPP) until June 2006, after which the government adopted trade parity pricing (TPP), assigning 80% weight to import parity and 20% to export parity.This framework helped protect refinery margins, especially for standalone refiners without the cushion of marketing margins. Although petrol and diesel prices were deregulated in 2010 and 2014 respectively, retail prices have remained largely frozen since April 2022, with OMCs absorbing losses during periods of high crude prices.The current RTP discount comes as under-recoveries on petrol and diesel have widened. Unlike LPG, where the government compensates for losses, there is no such support for auto fuels.The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas said in a post on X on April 1, “With global petroleum prices up by up to 100 per cent in the last one month, PSU OMCs are incurring under-recoveries of Rs 24.40 per litre on petrol and Rs 104.99 per litre on diesel at retail selling price (RSP) level as on 01.04.2026.”OMCs believe freezing RTP will help distribute the financial burden across the refining ecosystem. However, analysts caution that the move could disproportionately impact independent refiners with limited downstream presence and distort market-linked pricing signals, sources added.

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Dalal Street recap: Six of top-10 firms lose nearly Rs 65,000 crore in mcap; Bharti Airtel leads decline

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Dalal Street recap: Six of top-10 firms lose nearly Rs 65,000 crore in mcap; Bharti Airtel leads decline

Stock market ended the holiday-shortened week in red, dragging down the combined valuation of six of India’s ten most valued companies by Rs 64,734.46 crore, with Bharti Airtel emerging as the biggest loser. The broader market reflected the subdued sentiment, as the BSE Sensex slipped 263.67 points, or 0.35 per cent, while the NSE Nifty declined 106.5 points, or 0.46 per cent over the week.“Markets ended lower for the sixth consecutive week, declining by nearly half a per cent, reflecting heightened volatility driven by a mix of global and domestic uncertainties.“The holiday-shortened week began on a weak note as escalating US-Iran tensions and a sharp rise in crude oil prices weighed on sentiment, triggering broad-based selling pressure,” Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said.He noted that sentiment improved briefly during the week. “However, markets staged a mid-week recovery supported by easing geopolitical concerns and softer oil prices,” he added.“Despite this rebound, volatility remained elevated due to fluctuating global cues, continued foreign institutional outflows, rupee weakness, and inflation concerns,” Mishra said.Among the major decliners, Bharti Airtel saw its valuation fall by Rs 29,993.07 crore to Rs 10,20,420.26 crore. ICICI Bank followed with a drop of Rs 12,845.81 crore, taking its market capitalisation to Rs 8,70,705.49 crore.Bajaj Finance shed Rs 11,169.36 crore, ending at Rs 5,14,226.12 crore. HDFC Bank also saw its valuation decline by Rs 7,822.79 crore to Rs 11,56,195.90 crore, while Hindustan Unilever lost Rs 2,349.59 crore to Rs 4,85,190.60 crore.The market capitalisation of State Bank of India registered a comparatively smaller fall of Rs 553.84 crore, settling at Rs 9,41,015.31 crore.In contrast, gains in select heavyweights offered some support. Tata Consultancy Services added Rs 22,359.78 crore to reach Rs 8,87,028.43 crore, while Infosys rose by Rs 12,374.76 crore to Rs 5,27,409.43 crore. Larsen & Toubro advanced by Rs 6,575.43 crore to Rs 4,97,111.62 crore.Reliance Industries also posted a gain of Rs 3,518.45 crore, taking its valuation to Rs 18,28,034.07 crore, and retained its position as the country’s most valued company. It continued to be followed by HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, State Bank of India, Tata Consultancy Services, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Bajaj Finance, Larsen & Toubro and Hindustan Unilever.

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Inside India’s ghost malls: How nostalgic hangout spots lost their magic

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Inside India's ghost malls: How nostalgic hangout spots lost their magic

What once felt like stepping into a weekend dream: buzzing food courts, lively movie halls, bags in hand after a shopping spree, now feels strangely hollow. Walk in today, and the lights are still on, the escalators still moving… but where is everyone?Welcome to India’s ghost malls, where you will find shops still open, food counters still serving, but somehow, it’s still not enough to bring the crowds back. And that’s the reality for nearly 20% of malls across India. The once-bustling hangout spots are quietly losing their charm, fading into an eerie silence.But how did places that were always packed suddenly become so quiet?Today, almost one in five malls in India is now underperforming or almost empty, according to a report by Knight Frank India. As the retail world splits into booming and struggling spaces, these “ghost malls” are not just a sign of what went wrong, but also a chance to rethink and reinvent how these spaces are used.

What are ghost malls?

While some malls are still buzzing bright across India’s urban skyline, others are losing relevance, with fewer shoppers and more shuttered stores. Their decline shows how India’s retail market is changing: it is no longer just about space, but about offering the right experience in the right place.

A haunting issue: 74 malls, 15.5 million square feet, and a lot of silence

Today, India is home to dozens of struggling or shuttered malls, especially in metro suburbs and smaller cities that experienced the first wave of mall construction in the 2000s.The numbers almost read like a warning sign. Out of 365 shopping malls surveyed across India, 74, roughly 20% have been classified as “ghost malls.” This together accounts for about 15.5 million square feet of vacant or underused retail space, a lot of square footage built for shoppers who no longer show up. And these are not just struggling malls with a few shuttered stores but retail spaces that have lost their commercial pulse, where high vacancy, weak footfall and a broken tenant mix have pushed them into irrelevance.What makes these malls even more haunting is what they once promised. They were built as symbols of aspiration, in a time when malls stood for modern India, cool interiors, global brands, food courts, multiplexes and weekend family outings. Back then, they were not just shopping centres; they were markers of a rising urban lifestyle. Today, many stand as quiet reminders of what happens when real estate ambition moves faster than retail reality.

Where the ghosts live: West and South dominate the dead-space map

If you want to map India’s ghost malls, the dead-space geography is not evenly spread. West and South India dominate the list. These regions account for the largest concentration of non-performing or near-dead mall assets.That itself offers a strong narrative hook. Why are the “ghosts” clustering there? In many cases, these were among the earliest and most aggressive mall development markets. Cities in the West and South saw rapid mall construction during the big retail real estate push, when developers rushed to monetise urban land and consumer optimism. But scale alone did not guarantee sustainability.

Why do malls die?

The rise of ghost malls in India is less about low consumer spending and more about poor planning and oversupply in certain areas. Many malls, especially in the same locality, lack differentiation, causing fragmented footfall and frequent shop closures. E-commerce accelerated the decline but isn’t the main cause. “India’s ghost malls are less a reflection of weak consumption and more a result of uneven supply expansion and gaps in asset positioning across micro-markets. Nearly 20% of malls across 30+ cities are currently under-occupied, with stress visible not just in smaller cities but also in pockets of larger urban markets,” Naveen Malpani, Partner and Consumer & Retail Industry Leader, Grant Thornton Bharat told TOI.When location misfiresOne of the biggest factors behind a mall’s success is its location and ironically, it’s often the very thing that leads to its downfall. Poor planning at the outset, such as choosing the wrong catchment or misjudging demand, has turned many shopping centres into ghost spaces. Several malls were built in areas without enough consumer base to sustain them. In smaller cities, developers in the 2000s sometimes overestimated future demand, constructing multiple shopping centres where just one would have sufficed, leaving several half-empty from the start. In other cases, too many malls emerged in the same locality, all vying for the same spotlight. When supply exceeds demand, only a few malls remain relevant, while others slowly lose footfall. Take Noida’s Great India Place, Wave Mall, and DLF Mall of India. Located close together and targeting the same shoppers, the arrival of the larger, modern DLF Mall of India shifted consumer preference, leaving older malls struggling to keep pace.

During my time in Noida for graduation from 2016 to 2018, Great India Palace (GIP) was the go-to hangout spot for everyone. We’d meet there to decide on movies, food, shopping. Later, Mall of India gained popularity, but GIP remained accessible and widely visited. People would often visit both malls to compare which was better for movies, shopping, or dining. Over time, some shops at GIP began closing, and footfall gradually shifted elsewhere. The Wave Cinema at GIP still drew a few visitors, but apart from that, activity slowed. GIP was central for many years, especially in the late 2010s, but since around 2022–23, post-pandemic closures and a slowdown have gradually changed its prominence.

Harsh Shivam, a former engineering student told TOI.

Ageing malls that never grew upRemember that old mall you used to visit as a kid? Yes, that very one might also have become a ghost mall today. A number of first-generation malls from the early 2000s failed to keep pace with changing consumer tastes and expectations. As shiny new complexes opened elsewhere, older centres that didn’t renovate, refresh, or reinvent themselves saw patrons slowly drift away. When newer, flashier malls entered the scene, those stuck in the past lost their visitors, unable to compete with modern designs, better lighting, and more engaging experiences. Gurugram’s MG Road malls are a classic example, they were once the city’s go-to retail stretch but gradually lost footfall to newer destinations like CyberHub and the shopping centres along Golf Course Road. Today, shoppers are looking for more than just stores, they want immersive experiences, entertainment, and ambience, which makes it hard for outdated malls to attract repeat visitors.Too many owners spoil the mallEver wondered why some shopping centres just don’t seem to click? A lot of underperforming malls in India suffer from fragmented ownership. Here’s what happens: during construction, developers often sell individual shop units to multiple investors to raise funds. Sounds smart, right? But the catch is, without a single entity managing the mall, keeping quality standards high and curating the right mix of tenants becomes almost impossible. Each shop owner rents out their space to whoever will pay, leading to a random mix of stores, inconsistent storefronts, and no coordinated marketing. The result? Instead of a vibrant, cohesive shopping destination, the mall starts feeling like a collection of unrelated small shops. And as shoppers notice the chaos and lack of experience, footfall drops. So next time you visit a mall that feels disjointed, fragmented ownership might just be the culprit!

Underperforming cities

When anchor stores walk outAnchor tenants, think multiplexes, supermarkets, or big-name brands, are the lifeblood of a mall. They pull in crowds, and smaller stores thrive on that traffic. But what happens when a major anchor exits? Footfall drops sharply, smaller retailers start struggling, and soon a domino effect sets in. Sales fall, shops close, and the once-busy mall begins to feel empty and abandoned. The impact can be devastating: a single anchor’s departure can threaten the entire centre’s viability. Without a swift replacement, other tenants follow suit, vacating their spaces and leaving the mall with dwindling visitors. In many cases, this chain reaction has proven fatal, turning vibrant shopping destinations into ghostly corridors. Essentially, when the big draw leaves, the whole ecosystem suffers and a mall that once buzzed with life can quickly become a hollow shell.E-commerce changed the gameFootfall in shopping malls is also declining due to the rise of e-commerce over the past decade. These malls often relied on stores selling books, music, and basic electronics, categories that shoppers now prefer buying online. Without unique experiences or exclusive offerings, what reason did people really have to visit? Maybe a food court or cinema, but even those aren’t enough if the mall is poorly located or uninspiring. Then came the Covid-19 pandemic, and things got worse. Malls already struggling financially couldn’t survive months of closure, and many never bounced back.

Top performing cities

Legal troublesSometimes, it’s not just design or competition, external administrative issues can doom a shopping centre. Projects caught in prolonged legal disputes, like land title conflicts, zoning problems, or delays in occupancy certificates and approvals, often struggle to lease spaces effectively, leaving buildings empty. Take Bengaluru’s Grand Sigma Mall as an extreme example: legal issues around land use meant it could never fully open, and it was eventually demolished, a total loss of value. Even a well-designed, strategically located mall can falter if regulatory hurdles aren’t resolved quickly. Such compliance failures scare off both retailers and visitors, turning promising projects into dead assets. Shopping centres “die” when their core value collapses, whether due to flawed location, mismanagement, loss of consumer trust, or broader economic pressures.

Geographic spreak of shopping centres shock

Quality over quantity: retailers focus on efficiency and experience

Retailers are now prioritising efficiency and performance, revisiting leases, trimming underperforming stores, and turning outlets into experience or fulfilment centres. India isn’t lacking demand; instead, consumers are choosing quality and relevance “For retailers, this has sharpened the focus on store-level productivity and capital efficiency, with many renegotiating lease structures, rationalising store networks, and using physical stores as experience and fulfilment hubs. Ultimately, India does not have a demand deficit, it is witnessing a quality and relevance filter. The market is clearly bifurcating between high-performing, curated retail destinations and commoditised assets that are increasingly becoming obsolete,” Malpani told TOI.

The great contradiction: Empty malls in a market with a retail space shortage

Here is where the story becomes both genuinely fascinating and a little absurd.India has ghost malls, but it suffers from a shortage of quality mall space.At first glance, those two facts should cancel each other out. If there is empty retail space, why do brands keep saying there is not enough space? Why are rentals in top malls strong? Why do new entrants still struggle to find the right location?The answer is simple, and powerful: not all retail space is equal. This is the contradiction that makes the ghost mall story more than a tale of collapse. India does not suffer from a pure oversupply problem. It suffers from a mismatch problem. There is dead space, yes, but often in the wrong place, with the wrong design, the wrong tenant mix, the wrong catchment, or the wrong consumer proposition.

Ghost malls in Tier-1 cities

Millions of newly affluent consumers are driving demand for products from Louis Vuitton, Chanel, Dior, and others. Yet, India has very few true luxury malls: the Emporio and Chanakya in New Delhi, and Jio World Plaza in Mumbai.As Saurabh Bharara of DLF told ET that top global brands are eager to enter India, but high-quality space is scarce. Luxury retail demands more than square footage, it requires the right ambience, co-tenants, consumer profile, parking, and proven footfall. An empty unit in a dead mall is not an opportunity, it’s a risk. The challenge isn’t excess space, but the right space.Why? Because luxury does not just need square footage. It needs context.

The silver lining: Dead malls can be reborn

Not every ghost mall has to remain a ghost. So, what should a city do with 15.5 million square feet of empty retail space? Imagine turning old, quiet malls into bustling hotspots and making strong returns while doing it. That’s exactly the opportunity in India’s retail real estate today. Tier 1 cities hold two-thirds of the potential (INR 236 Cr), while Tier 2 cities add another INR 121 Cr. Instead of spending huge sums on building new malls, investors can revive dormant centres and unlock cash flows with projected rental yields of 5.86%.Regionally, the West and South dominate, generating 77% of projected rental revenue. But the trick is strategy: pick the right property, execute well, and these “sleeping giants” can become high-yield, value-add investments. Lessons from global markets show how revitalisation works and in India, 15 shortlisted centres across 11 cities could together produce Rs 357 Cr annually.Simply adding a few new brands, a fresh coat of paint, or a rebranded logo isn’t enough. Real revival often means rethinking the purpose of the space, resizing, re-tenanting, improving circulation, enhancing access, or even converting the mall into something entirely new.

Expected annual rental revenue

Beyond shopping: Entertainment hubsTurn a mall into a playground! Empty units can become amusement parks, gaming arenas, bowling alleys, or sports facilities. Young people and families get a “day-out” experience, while remaining retail shops and cafes benefit from the extra footfall.Retail revival: Upgrade & repositionSome malls just need a makeover. Modern interiors, better layouts, new anchor stores, trendy cafes, and entertainment options can bring shoppers back. Marketing helps reposition the mall as a must-visit destination.Workplace reimagined: Co-working hubsGhost malls with big floor spaces, parking, and central locations can become co-working hubs. Start-ups, small businesses, and corporations are always looking for flexible spaces. According to Knight Frank, even food courts and entertainment areas can turn into lounges, meeting spots, or event zones. Suddenly, an empty mall starts buzzing with professionals instead of shoppers.Learning under one roof: Education facilitiesMalls can be your new classrooms…quiet literally! Large, accessible spaces can host coaching centres, skill-development institutes, or even satellite university campuses. Empty shops can be converted into classrooms, auditoriums, and admin offices. With parking and transport links already in place, these centres can attract students year-round, especially in Tier 2 cities where quality education is limited.Healing spaces: Healthcare centresGhost malls are perfect for clinics, diagnostic labs, pharmacies, or even small hospitals. Their layouts, parking, and multiple entrances make them ideal for patients and visitors. Medical tenants bring stable leases, while communities gain better access to healthcare.Rebuilt for relevance: Mixed-use redevelopmentWhen retail alone won’t work, think mixed-use. Offices, schools, or medical facilities can occupy part of the mall, or in extreme cases, the entire structure can be rebuilt for a new purpose. Empty spaces can finally earn their keep.

Regionwise share

The bottom line?

The story of India’s ghost malls is not just about empty corridors and silent food courts, it’s a lesson in adaptation. While many first-generation malls failed to evolve with changing tastes, their vast spaces, central locations, and existing infrastructure hold immense potential. From entertainment hubs and co-working spaces to education centres and healthcare facilities, these “sleeping giants” can be reinvented to meet today’s urban demands. For investors and cities alike, the message is clear: with the right strategy, what once felt hollow can be transformed into vibrant, profitable destinations. The malls of yesterday may yet become the thriving landmarks of tomorrow.The takeaway? India’s retail real estate has a “second chapter” ready to be written, and the malls of yesterday could be the cash cows of tomorrow.

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FPI sell-off deepens: Rs 23,801 crore withdrawn in a week; March sees record Rs 1.17 lakh crore exit

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FPI sell-off deepens: Rs 23,801 crore withdrawn in a week; March sees record Rs 1.17 lakh crore exit

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) extended their heavy sell-off in Indian equities this week, pulling out a net Rs 23,801 crore, as global uncertainties and rising crude oil prices continued to dampen investor sentiment.Data from the National Securities Depository Limited showed that March had already seen substantial outflows, with FPIs offloading equities worth Rs 1,17,775 crore, the highest monthly selling recorded so far this year.The persistent exodus has been largely attributed to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which shows no clear signs of easing. A sharp rise in crude oil prices, coupled with the weakening of the rupee, has further intensified pressure on domestic markets, prompting foreign investors to scale back their exposure.Market experts pointed out that a combination of geopolitical tensions, elevated energy prices and currency depreciation has created a challenging environment for foreign investments.VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments, said March witnessed unprecedented selling by FPIs.“March witnessed massive selling by FPIs. This is the biggest ever monthly selling by FPIs. Continuation of the war, crude again spiking to above USD 100 level, the steady decline in the rupee and appreciation of the dollar triggered this record selling by FPIs,” he said.He added that the weakening rupee has been a key factor accelerating the outflows.“Rupee depreciated by about 4% since the war began and fears of further depreciation has added to the weakness of the rupee, which, in turn, is triggering further selling by FPIs,” Vijayakumar noted.Crude oil prices rising above the $100 per barrel mark have also heightened concerns around inflation and India’s import bill, given its reliance on imported energy. This has added to the strain on the rupee and weighed on overall market sentiment.Despite the sustained selling, experts believe that the market correction has brought valuations to more reasonable levels.“Sustained selling by the FPIs have made Indian market valuations fair and in some segments attractive. But FPI inflows can happen only when there is de-escalation on the war front leading to decline in crude,” Vijayakumar added.The ongoing trend suggests that foreign investor activity in Indian markets is currently being shaped by global developments, particularly geopolitical tensions and movements in energy prices, with any reversal in flows likely dependent on easing of these risks.

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